We are bombarded with choices about numbers every day. How much is this item? How much is that? Gas costs how much? One of the dilemmas we experience at the tables constantly is how much to bet or raise. The thinking is all over the map, as well: Did I raise enough to get a call? She raised how much? All of which is where math comes into play.
Before the flop, if you want to raise with no callers before you, raise four times the big blind. That is, to call the blind or the bring-in without raising. Anyway, if there are limpers ahead of you, add those calls to the amount you raise. If there is a caller to the raise, add that to your re-raise.
If nobody calls the and it comes around to you, go ahead and re-raise it to 1, Although there will be plenty of tricky spots, I expect to have good equity and decent playability against his calling range. This means Villain should be raising or calling roughly half of his opening range. Nate and Leo Wolpert both raise good questions about the size of the 3-bet. Nate points out that a smaller 3-bet could still fold a lot of that air without bloating the pot as much.
Note this range contains a fair number of slowplayed big pairs and big suited Aces and is maybe even a little generous in that regard. I encourage you to put it into PokerStove so that you can visualize it better. It further reduces the number of value hands in his range, because some percentage of his flop slowplays should be betting now.
Thus, after the turn action the majority of his range is middle-value hands. It is instructive to consider just middle-value hands when planning our river line. This makes me dislike any line that ends with me folding. Tricky players do things to subvert these simplistic hand reading techniques, though.
I checked intending to call any bet. Villain thought for a bit, checked behind, and berated himself when I showed my 88, saying that he should have shoved. This makes me think he did have something like 76 or 55 that he considered turning into a bluff. I think the biggest reason I settled on betting river is that so much of what he would have to bluff to get us to fold our exact hand is pretty happy to get to showdown against what he may think is a range heavy with Ace-highs, two overs and some other giveups.
If nobody calls the and it comes around to you, go ahead and re-raise it to 1, Pocket aces is a great hand to go heads up with. So, if you are raising with a marginal hand, be careful — you want to raise enough to make other players buy into the notion that you have a much stronger hand. If you raise too little, a sharp players will probably sniff out that weakness and re-raise you.
How much to play? This percentage of the pot can also be applied on the turn and the river. This applies to what the opponent is doing, too. So all kinds of strategy is taking place at the table — playing, thinking and bluffing. Turning the tables around for a moment in a cautious vein, never bet half of your chips or more without going all-in. If you want to bet half of your chip stack, just bet it all.
Keeping tabs on how many chips are placed is an important element of being a successful poker tournament player. And be consistent. Too large of a raise will be sensed as a bluff on your part, so anticipate potential consequences. I hate calling raises out of position against good players, especially when those good players have really wide ranges.
A raise also keeps the BB from coming in very cheaply, which I was more concerned about than a squeeze. Although there will be plenty of tricky spots, I expect to have good equity and decent playability against his calling range.
This means Villain should be raising or calling roughly half of his opening range. Nate and Leo Wolpert both raise good questions about the size of the 3-bet. Nate points out that a smaller 3-bet could still fold a lot of that air without bloating the pot as much. Note this range contains a fair number of slowplayed big pairs and big suited Aces and is maybe even a little generous in that regard.
I encourage you to put it into PokerStove so that you can visualize it better. It further reduces the number of value hands in his range, because some percentage of his flop slowplays should be betting now. Thus, after the turn action the majority of his range is middle-value hands.
It is instructive to consider just middle-value hands when planning our river line. This makes me dislike any line that ends with me folding. Tricky players do things to subvert these simplistic hand reading techniques, though.
I checked intending to call any bet. Villain thought for a bit, checked behind, and berated himself when I showed my 88, saying that he should have shoved.
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